Tom Lydon

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ETFs and the 'Lost Decade'

ETFs Primed and Ready for a Market Comeback

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Waiting on a Market Rebound

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That Was Then, This Is Now for Last Year's Top Performers

By Tom Lydon | January 18, 2008 | 6:27 PM | 0 Comments

If you look at the performance reports, there is so much red, it looks like a sea full of chum. Times for exchange traded funds (ETFs) are a-changin'. What worked for your portfolio in 2007 isn't necessarily going to work now. 

A case in point is the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (FXI). Last year, the fund was up 53.3%. Recently, it declined 30% off its high.

ETF investors should be reassessing their portfolios now. If you're holding onto those top performers from last year, it's time to implement that exit strategy: if a fund drops more than 8% of its high or dips below its 200-day moving average, it's time to let it go.

It's clear that we're hurting on a global scale now. Where do investors go? Despite from the looks of things, there are still a number of places to turn.

A quick review of the top-performing funds so far for 2008 tell a pretty big story: inverse ETFs make up the top 24 spots on Morningstar's list. The first long ETF to appear on the list holds the 25th spot - the PowerShares Financial Preferred (PGF), made up of preferred financial stocks from all over the world. Year-to-date, it's up 13.6%.

The top-performing fund, overall, is the MACROshares Oil Down Tradeable Shares (DCR), which is technically not an ETF. Regardless, DCR has performed strongly so far this year, up 42.3%.

A number of other funds are that are bucking the overall downward trend, too. Let's have a look:

PowerShares DB Agriculture (DBA), up 11.3%

B2B Internet HOLDRs (BHH), up 11.3%

iShares S&P U.S. Preferred Stock Index (PFF), up 7%

PowerShares DB Silver (DBS), up 9.4%

iShares Silver Trust Report (SLV), up 8.4%

ETF investors should be reassessing their portfolios now. If you're holding onto those top performers from last year, it's time to implement that exit strategy: if a fund drops more than 8% of its high or dips below its 200-day moving average, it's time to let it go.

Disclosure: Some of Tom Lydon's clients own shares of DBA. 

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