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The Risks of Pursuing Higher-Yielding ETFs
15 January 2010 at 2:45 pm by Gary Gordon
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There may be 20-22 ETFs yielding 5.0% or more on an annualized basis. And on the surface, 5% via interest or dividend income sounds fantastic.
Yet every "pro" may be met with an equally compelling "con." For example, 5 of the 20+ income producers come from the land of Global Real Estate ETFs. Has the reflation of assets through worldwide stimulus pushed real estate in other parts of the world into a speculative bubble? Was Dubai merely a precursor to property developer debt woes?
| High Yielding Global Real Estate ETFs | |||
| Name | Symbol | Category | Yield |
| WisdomTree International Real Estate | DRW | Global Real Estate | 9.5% |
| iShares FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev RE ex-US | IFGL | Global Real Estate | 7.1% |
| First Trust FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Glb Real Es | FFR | Global Real Estate | 6.0% |
| iShares S&P Dev ex-US Property Index | WPS | Global Real Estate | 5.2% |
| iShares FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev Asia Idx | IFAS | Global Real Estate | 5.1% |
Perhaps you feel that you have enough exposure to real estate at home. So you'd rather pursue yield in the bond market. Yet here you face the threat of rising interest rates as well as carry trade risk and credit risk. (Click here for a more complete discussion of ETF risks.)
For instance, it's quite conceivable that the Fed raises target rates from 0%-0.25% up to 0.75%-1.0% by year-end 2010. It is equally conceivable that the end of emergency stimulus programs as well as general investor unwillingness to buy the longer end of the yield curve (10yr-30yr) would push bond prices down. And that might offset any income earned from one's treasury bond or investment grade corporate bond holdings.
| Highest Yielding Bond ETFs | |||
| Name | Symbol | Category | Yield |
| SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond | JNK | High Yield Bond | 12.2% |
| iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bd | HYG | High Yield Bond | 9.6% |
| PowerShares High Yield Corporate Bond | PHB | High Yield Bond | 8.8% |
| PowerShares Emerging Mkts Sovereign Debt | PCY | Emerging Markets Bond | 6.4% |
| iShares JPMorgan USD Emerg Markets Bond | EMB | Emerging Markets Bond | 5.7% |
| iShares iBoxx $ Invest Grade Corp Bond | LQD | Long-Term Bond | 5.5% |
| Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | BLV | Long-Term Bond | 5.3% |
Perhaps that leads you to the junk bond universe, where the yields are north of 8%. The problem here? Many corporate borrowers on the lower end of the credit risk scale still have significant refinancing needs. And if the economy doesn't respond as well as everyone expects, default rates will be higher and junk bonds could struggle.
Emerging bond debt? It yields less than high-yield corporates. And plenty of folks are looking for the next Dubai. Heck... even developed countries like Greece, Ireland and Spain are on the country default watch list.
If you'd like to learn more about ETF investing... then tune into "In the Money With Gary Gordon." You can listen to the show "LIVE", via podcast or on your iPod. If you'd like to subscribe to ETF Risk Alert, click here.
Disclosure Statement: ETF Expert is a web log ("blog") that makes the world of ETFs easier to understand. Gary Gordon, MS, CFP is the president of Pacific Park Financial, Inc., a Registered Investment Adviser with the SEC. The company and/or its clients may hold positions in the ETFs, mutual funds and/or index funds mentioned above. The company does not receive compensation from any of the fund providers covered in this feature. Moreover, the commentary does not constitute individualized investment advice. The opinions offered herein are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities. Investors who are interested in money management services may visit the Pacific Park Financial, Inc. web site.
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