Welcome to Global MegaTrends!

At Global MegaTrends we are global-macro investors. You are invited to trade alongside me and benefit from my 15 years of investment experience by utilizing my unique, top-down, macroeconomic approach to investing. Employing this technique has allowed me to identify and take advantage of a tectonic shift in the world of investing which prompted me to rearrange my own portfolio in 2002, years before the majority of the investment community recognized this historic transformation. I am now willing to share this time-proven, Global Macro investment system with you. During the last several years, I have been advising leaders of top institutional banks, Fortune 100 companies, national political consultants, and global financial institutions around the world. I am now delighted to be able to share these global macro insights with individual investors through my new subscription service. As a top-down, global-macro style investor, it is absolutely paramount to identify the major trends, the inter-relationships between the trends, and the longevity of the trends. My investment strategy largely stems from the three inter-related themes listed in the figure below:

All three trends are unprecedented in worldwide scale, and combined, are causing investors to dump their paper assets that served them well during the 1982-2000 bull market for stocks and rotate them into commodities and hard assets. This evolution is currently manifesting itself at an accelerating pace. While this trend could continue as many proponents of the “Commodity Super Cycle” expect, I have laid out an alternative view that commodity prices will spike to almost unimaginable highs over the next two years before “flaming out.” During this period we can expect higher inflation, a weaker US economy, and continued financial market stresses with higher volatility. It is therefore crucial for a portfolio to contain names which exhibit both offensive and defensive characteristics. My research and experience has led me to five sectors where these names can be found:

Asset allocation is the most important factor in determining investor success. Properly timed investments within these sectors, based on technical and fundamental analysis, while maintaining the optimal portfolio balance among all five sectors will permit us to maximize our returns. The portfolio will generally hold between 10-30 positions spread throughout the sectors. I look forward to sharing the model which has served me so well over the last six years with you.

All the best, 

Kurt Kasun